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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.56vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+0.65vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.21+5.01vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-0.17+8.05vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.71+1.47vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College1.73+0.61vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.17-3.77vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.01-2.31vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.06+2.86vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.09+1.69vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware0.40-0.65vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.32+0.45vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.64+0.32vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-0.56-0.85vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.72-9.39vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.31-6.43vs Predicted
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18Rutgers University-1.25-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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2.65University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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8.01Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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12.05Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.47Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.61Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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3.23U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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5.69Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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11.86Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.69Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
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12.45Columbia University-0.320.0%1st Place
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13.32University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.640.0%1st Place
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13.15Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.61Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.57Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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14.75Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Lutz | 18.3% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 29.8% | 26.4% | 18.1% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Herlihy | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.9% |
| Amanda Attardi | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 20.0% | 20.8% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 4.6% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Zachary Wiles | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.0% |
| Michael Moubarek | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 16.7% |
| Thomas Hickey | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 14.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 17.7% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.