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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.94+4.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+3.91vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina-0.11+5.34vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.50+3.26vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.87-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Central Florida-0.46+5.61vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.52+3.96vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.64+2.16vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.48-2.26vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.27-0.83vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.92+0.31vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.02+0.08vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-0.06vs Predicted
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14Florida State University-1.34-0.89vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-1.81-0.47vs Predicted
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16Unknown School-1.97-0.96vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-2.35-0.94vs Predicted
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18Clemson University-0.54-8.02vs Predicted
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19Hampton University0.58-14.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Roger Williams University0.9410.5%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6410.3%1st Place
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8.34University of South Carolina-0.115.8%1st Place
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7.26University of South Florida0.506.8%1st Place
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4.86North Carolina State University0.8714.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Central Florida-0.462.5%1st Place
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10.96Christopher Newport University-0.522.6%1st Place
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10.16University of Michigan-0.643.2%1st Place
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6.74Jacksonville University0.488.5%1st Place
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9.17The Citadel-0.273.6%1st Place
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11.31University of North Carolina-0.922.9%1st Place
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12.08Embry-Riddle University-1.021.6%1st Place
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12.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.9%1st Place
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13.11Florida State University-1.341.8%1st Place
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14.53San Diego State University-1.810.8%1st Place
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15.04Unknown School-1.970.7%1st Place
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16.06Florida Institute of Technology-2.350.0%1st Place
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9.98Clemson University-0.543.9%1st Place
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4.11Hampton University0.5818.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Fuja | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Loring | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Luke Justin | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Brelage | 14.0% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Joe Seiffert | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Emma Gumny | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Suhas Medidi | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 6.0% |
| Ella Durante | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.1% |
| Sadie Marinerstein | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 16.6% |
| Samara Cohen | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 18.3% | 22.1% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 36.1% |
| Jack Houseal | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Brown | 18.6% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.