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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.17+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+0.66vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.62vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.01+1.72vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.06+6.56vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.21+2.13vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College1.73-0.52vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.71-1.50vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.31+1.78vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.09+1.67vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.72-4.37vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.32+0.44vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.64+0.33vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware0.40-3.59vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.25-0.37vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute-0.56-2.82vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-0.17-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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2.66University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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3.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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5.72Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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11.56Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.13Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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6.48Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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6.5Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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10.78Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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11.67Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.63Fordham University1.720.1%1st Place
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12.44Columbia University-0.320.0%1st Place
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13.33University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.640.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
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14.63Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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13.18Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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12.09Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Madigan | 21.5% | 21.4% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 30.0% | 25.5% | 18.3% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 16.2% | 19.7% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Schippe | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Johanna Monro | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Wiles | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 9.0% |
| Michael Moubarek | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 16.6% |
| Caroline Udell | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 39.0% |
| Thomas Hickey | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 14.3% |
| Charles Herlihy | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.