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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.72+5.35vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.17+1.19vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.58vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College1.73+2.62vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.09+6.71vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.01-0.10vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.21+0.96vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.31+2.51vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.71-2.31vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware0.40+0.32vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.56+2.12vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-0.17+0.05vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.51-10.26vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.06-2.19vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.25-1.38vs Predicted
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17Columbia University-0.32-4.50vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.64-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Fordham University1.720.1%1st Place
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3.19U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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3.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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6.62Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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11.71Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.9Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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7.96Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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10.51Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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6.69Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
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13.12Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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12.05Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
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2.74University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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11.81Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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14.62Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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12.5Columbia University-0.320.0%1st Place
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13.33University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Monro | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 22.4% | 20.5% | 20.0% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 17.0% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 5.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Hickey | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 15.6% |
| Charles Herlihy | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 5.8% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 29.1% | 24.3% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 4.7% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 39.6% |
| Zachary Wiles | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% |
| Michael Moubarek | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.