← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.72+5.38vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.56vs Predicted
-
3Ocean County College1.73+3.46vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.17-0.71vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania3.51-3.32vs Predicted
-
7Villanova University1.21+1.11vs Predicted
-
8Drexel University-0.06+3.67vs Predicted
-
9Webb Institute-0.56+3.89vs Predicted
-
10Washington College2.01-4.08vs Predicted
-
11Princeton University0.31-0.46vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University1.71-5.36vs Predicted
-
13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.64+0.30vs Predicted
-
14Penn State University-0.17-1.94vs Predicted
-
15Monmouth University-0.09-3.13vs Predicted
-
16University of Delaware0.40-5.66vs Predicted
-
17Rutgers University-1.25-2.26vs Predicted
-
18Columbia University-0.32-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.38Fordham University1.720.1%1st Place
-
3.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
-
6.46Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
-
3.29U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
-
2.68University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
-
8.11Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
-
11.67Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
-
12.89Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
-
5.92Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
-
10.54Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
-
6.64Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
-
13.3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.640.0%1st Place
-
12.06Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
-
11.87Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
-
10.34University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
-
14.74Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
12.52Columbia University-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Monro | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 17.4% | 17.5% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 21.4% | 19.6% | 20.0% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 31.7% | 24.7% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 3.7% |
| Thomas Hickey | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 13.6% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Amanda Attardi | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Moubarek | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 16.2% |
| Charles Herlihy | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 6.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 4.9% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 41.4% |
| Zachary Wiles | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.