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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.28+1.43vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.27+0.39vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.10+0.95vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.19-0.14vs Predicted
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5William and Mary1.37-1.28vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.60-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Hampton University2.280.3%1st Place
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2.39Old Dominion University2.270.3%1st Place
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3.95University of Virginia1.100.1%1st Place
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3.86SUNY Maritime College1.190.1%1st Place
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3.72William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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4.64Hampton University0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Maccari | 29.7% | 29.1% | 19.6% | 14.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 34.3% | 25.1% | 19.1% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Golladay | 9.9% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 23.0% | 19.6% |
| Andrew Hall | 10.0% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 24.7% | 16.6% |
| Bill Parker | 10.9% | 14.2% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 19.2% | 17.3% |
| Kimannee Simon | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 21.1% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.