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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.28+1.47vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.37+1.57vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.27-0.62vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia1.10-0.02vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.60-0.28vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.19-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Hampton University2.280.3%1st Place
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3.57William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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2.38Old Dominion University2.270.3%1st Place
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3.98University of Virginia1.100.1%1st Place
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4.72Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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3.9SUNY Maritime College1.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Maccari | 29.1% | 29.1% | 19.7% | 13.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Bill Parker | 12.9% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 21.0% | 12.3% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 33.0% | 25.5% | 20.8% | 13.7% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Golladay | 10.2% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 20.4% | 23.2% | 20.6% |
| Kimannee Simon | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 15.2% | 20.0% | 44.4% |
| Andrew Hall | 10.2% | 11.2% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 25.3% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.