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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.28+1.44vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.37+1.56vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.60+1.64vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia1.10-0.04vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.27-2.48vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.19-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Hampton University2.280.3%1st Place
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3.56William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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4.64Hampton University0.600.1%1st Place
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3.96University of Virginia1.100.1%1st Place
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2.52Old Dominion University2.270.3%1st Place
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3.89SUNY Maritime College1.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Maccari | 30.9% | 27.2% | 20.3% | 13.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Bill Parker | 12.8% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 19.9% | 19.6% | 12.5% |
| Kimannee Simon | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 20.2% | 43.0% |
| Matthew Golladay | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 21.2% | 23.1% | 20.0% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 30.1% | 26.8% | 18.7% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 9.9% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 23.8% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.