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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+3.11vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.60+5.14vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+2.22vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.04+1.48vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69+4.83vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.40-1.02vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51+0.41vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.37+3.44vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.99+0.09vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.13+2.37vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97-0.51vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-2.41vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.62-2.68vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.17-1.16vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.65-4.96vs Predicted
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16Harvard University-0.20-2.53vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-6.92vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.99-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Yale University2.7118.8%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College1.606.9%1st Place
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5.22Harvard University2.1012.7%1st Place
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5.48Brown University2.0412.0%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University0.693.1%1st Place
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4.98Boston College2.4013.2%1st Place
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7.41Bowdoin College1.517.1%1st Place
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11.44Boston University0.372.2%1st Place
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9.09University of Rhode Island0.993.7%1st Place
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12.37University of Vermont-0.131.2%1st Place
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10.49Salve Regina University0.973.1%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.2%1st Place
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10.32Roger Williams University0.623.2%1st Place
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12.84Northeastern University0.171.3%1st Place
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10.04Connecticut College0.652.8%1st Place
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13.47Harvard University-0.201.2%1st Place
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10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.8%1st Place
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17.1Middlebury College-1.990.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.8% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 1.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 3.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 5.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 22.1% | 7.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 78.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.