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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.69+8.91vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.37+9.28vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+0.99vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.04+1.62vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.99+4.17vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.40-1.05vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51+0.35vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10-2.80vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.60-1.99vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.97+0.43vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.20vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.13+0.24vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.62-2.80vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-3.80vs Predicted
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15Harvard University-0.20-1.57vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.65-5.65vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.17-4.26vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.99-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.91Tufts University0.693.5%1st Place
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11.28Boston University0.372.1%1st Place
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3.99Yale University2.7118.9%1st Place
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5.62Brown University2.0412.3%1st Place
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9.17University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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4.95Boston College2.4013.0%1st Place
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7.35Bowdoin College1.516.3%1st Place
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5.2Harvard University2.1013.0%1st Place
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7.01Dartmouth College1.608.2%1st Place
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10.43Salve Regina University0.972.9%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.3%1st Place
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12.24University of Vermont-0.131.7%1st Place
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10.2Roger Williams University0.623.2%1st Place
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10.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.0%1st Place
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13.43Harvard University-0.201.0%1st Place
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10.35Connecticut College0.652.4%1st Place
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12.74Northeastern University0.171.4%1st Place
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17.13Middlebury College-1.990.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Jensen | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 2.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.9% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 3.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 22.9% | 7.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 4.8% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.