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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.40+3.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+1.98vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.97+7.72vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.04+1.64vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.60+2.08vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.10-0.75vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.62+3.20vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+1.76vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.13+3.42vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-0.89vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.51-3.78vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.65-2.03vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.37-1.81vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.17-1.06vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.69-5.17vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-5.89vs Predicted
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17Harvard University-0.20-3.51vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.99-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Boston College2.4013.4%1st Place
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3.98Yale University2.7120.6%1st Place
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10.72Salve Regina University0.972.6%1st Place
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5.64Brown University2.0410.7%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College1.607.0%1st Place
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5.25Harvard University2.1011.7%1st Place
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10.2Roger Williams University0.623.2%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.6%1st Place
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12.42University of Vermont-0.131.4%1st Place
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9.11University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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7.22Bowdoin College1.516.8%1st Place
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9.97Connecticut College0.654.0%1st Place
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11.19Boston University0.371.8%1st Place
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12.94Northeastern University0.171.5%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University0.693.5%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.1%1st Place
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13.49Harvard University-0.201.6%1st Place
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17.09Middlebury College-1.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 20.6% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 4.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 5.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 23.1% | 7.6% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.