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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.27+1.45vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.28+0.38vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.37+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia1.100.00vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.60-0.29vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.19-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Old Dominion University2.270.3%1st Place
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2.38Hampton University2.280.3%1st Place
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3.6William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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4.0University of Virginia1.100.1%1st Place
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4.71Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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3.85SUNY Maritime College1.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Lounsbury | 29.8% | 28.2% | 21.0% | 12.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Veronica Maccari | 34.2% | 25.4% | 19.4% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Bill Parker | 12.2% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 20.5% | 21.7% | 12.0% |
| Matthew Golladay | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 20.1% | 24.9% | 19.9% |
| Kimannee Simon | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 44.9% |
| Andrew Hall | 10.1% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 22.1% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.