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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+2.98vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.04+3.57vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.51+4.27vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+1.08vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.65+5.18vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.62+4.20vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.60+0.11vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.37+3.39vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.40-4.07vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-0.81vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.23vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.69-2.16vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-2.48vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.13-1.71vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-4.64vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.17-3.11vs Predicted
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17Harvard University-0.20-3.85vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.99-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Yale University2.7119.8%1st Place
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5.57Brown University2.0411.1%1st Place
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7.27Bowdoin College1.517.0%1st Place
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5.08Harvard University2.1012.0%1st Place
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10.18Connecticut College0.652.9%1st Place
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10.2Roger Williams University0.623.3%1st Place
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7.11Dartmouth College1.606.7%1st Place
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11.39Boston University0.371.9%1st Place
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4.93Boston College2.4013.7%1st Place
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9.19University of Rhode Island0.993.9%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.5%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University0.693.5%1st Place
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10.52Salve Regina University0.973.3%1st Place
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12.29University of Vermont-0.131.9%1st Place
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10.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.7%1st Place
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12.89Northeastern University0.171.7%1st Place
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13.15Harvard University-0.201.1%1st Place
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17.27Middlebury College-1.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.8% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 1.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 13.7% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 3.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 4.9% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 21.3% | 5.9% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 80.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.