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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.94+4.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+3.83vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.87+1.92vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-0.11+4.69vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.50+2.42vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.48+0.60vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.27+2.26vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.46+3.69vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.54+0.56vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-0.64+0.29vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University-0.52-0.29vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.92-0.52vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-0.13vs Predicted
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14Florida State University-1.34-0.95vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.02-3.08vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.81-1.34vs Predicted
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17Unknown School-1.97-2.02vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-2.35-1.73vs Predicted
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19Hampton University0.58-14.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Roger Williams University0.9411.5%1st Place
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5.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6410.8%1st Place
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4.92North Carolina State University0.8713.8%1st Place
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8.69University of South Carolina-0.114.9%1st Place
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7.42University of South Florida0.506.5%1st Place
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6.6Jacksonville University0.488.5%1st Place
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9.26The Citadel-0.274.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Central Florida-0.462.2%1st Place
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9.56Clemson University-0.543.8%1st Place
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10.29University of Michigan-0.643.2%1st Place
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10.71Christopher Newport University-0.523.2%1st Place
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11.48University of North Carolina-0.922.2%1st Place
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12.87University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.6%1st Place
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13.05Florida State University-1.341.7%1st Place
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11.92Embry-Riddle University-1.022.6%1st Place
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14.66San Diego State University-1.811.1%1st Place
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14.98Unknown School-1.970.7%1st Place
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16.27Florida Institute of Technology-2.350.4%1st Place
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4.06Hampton University0.5817.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Fuja | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 13.8% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Loring | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Luke Justin | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joe Seiffert | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Jack Houseal | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Noah Hubbard | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Emma Gumny | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.1% |
| Ella Durante | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 5.8% |
| Suhas Medidi | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Sadie Marinerstein | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 17.1% |
| Samara Cohen | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 18.9% | 20.1% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 17.2% | 39.9% |
| Tyler Brown | 17.3% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.