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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.28+1.44vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.27+0.39vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.10+0.97vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.19-0.13vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.60-0.29vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.37-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Hampton University2.280.3%1st Place
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2.39Old Dominion University2.270.3%1st Place
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3.97University of Virginia1.100.1%1st Place
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3.87SUNY Maritime College1.190.1%1st Place
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4.71Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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3.62William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Maccari | 30.0% | 28.3% | 20.4% | 13.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 33.6% | 25.8% | 19.3% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Matthew Golladay | 9.5% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 24.6% | 19.8% |
| Andrew Hall | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 20.7% | 23.2% | 17.5% |
| Kimannee Simon | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 21.1% | 43.8% |
| Bill Parker | 12.6% | 13.7% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 20.1% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.