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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+3.04vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.65+7.99vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.60+4.14vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+5.93vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.40-0.24vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.51+1.27vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.10-1.78vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97+2.51vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.13+3.46vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.37+1.24vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.04-5.28vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.62-1.70vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.69-2.87vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.17-1.27vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-4.88vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.99-7.12vs Predicted
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17Harvard University-0.20-3.57vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.99-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Yale University2.7120.2%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College0.652.8%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College1.607.1%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.2%1st Place
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4.76Boston College2.4014.6%1st Place
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7.27Bowdoin College1.517.5%1st Place
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5.22Harvard University2.1011.2%1st Place
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10.51Salve Regina University0.972.8%1st Place
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12.46University of Vermont-0.131.4%1st Place
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11.24Boston University0.372.9%1st Place
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5.72Brown University2.0410.5%1st Place
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10.3Roger Williams University0.622.9%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University0.692.5%1st Place
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12.73Northeastern University0.171.6%1st Place
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10.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.4%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island0.995.1%1st Place
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13.43Harvard University-0.200.9%1st Place
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17.13Middlebury College-1.990.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 20.2% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 14.6% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 3.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 2.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 4.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 22.1% | 7.1% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 78.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.