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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.69+8.85vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.03vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.04+2.61vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.60+3.02vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.62+5.24vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.37+5.27vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.40-2.13vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+1.88vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.51-1.63vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.13+2.37vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-0.92vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-2.85vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.17-0.23vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.10-8.83vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.65-4.68vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-5.50vs Predicted
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17Harvard University-0.20-3.70vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.99-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.85Tufts University0.693.4%1st Place
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4.03Yale University2.7119.1%1st Place
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5.61Brown University2.0410.8%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College1.607.6%1st Place
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10.24Roger Williams University0.623.2%1st Place
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11.27Boston University0.372.2%1st Place
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4.87Boston College2.4013.4%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.7%1st Place
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7.37Bowdoin College1.516.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Vermont-0.132.2%1st Place
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10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island0.994.3%1st Place
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12.77Northeastern University0.171.1%1st Place
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5.17Harvard University2.1012.4%1st Place
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10.32Connecticut College0.653.4%1st Place
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10.5Salve Regina University0.973.5%1st Place
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13.3Harvard University-0.201.3%1st Place
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17.19Middlebury College-1.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Jensen | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.1% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 2.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 13.4% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 3.8% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 4.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 22.1% | 5.8% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 79.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.