← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University2.28+1.44vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary1.37+1.57vs Predicted
-
3Hampton University0.60+1.61vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University2.27-1.59vs Predicted
-
5University of Virginia1.10-0.94vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College1.19-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.44Hampton University2.280.3%1st Place
-
3.57William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
-
4.61Hampton University0.600.1%1st Place
-
2.41Old Dominion University2.270.3%1st Place
-
4.06University of Virginia1.100.1%1st Place
-
3.92SUNY Maritime College1.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Maccari | 31.1% | 27.1% | 20.6% | 12.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Bill Parker | 13.1% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 20.6% | 12.5% |
| Kimannee Simon | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 23.1% | 40.1% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 30.7% | 26.9% | 22.3% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Golladay | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 22.6% | 23.3% |
| Andrew Hall | 9.7% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 21.0% | 21.7% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.