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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary1.37+2.61vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.28+0.39vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.60+1.62vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.19-0.15vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.27-2.47vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia1.10-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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2.39Hampton University2.280.3%1st Place
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4.62Hampton University0.600.1%1st Place
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3.85SUNY Maritime College1.190.1%1st Place
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2.53Old Dominion University2.270.3%1st Place
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4.0University of Virginia1.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Parker | 11.9% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 14.4% |
| Veronica Maccari | 33.0% | 26.1% | 20.4% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Kimannee Simon | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 21.9% | 41.6% |
| Andrew Hall | 10.2% | 11.6% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 23.5% | 16.7% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 29.4% | 27.3% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Golladay | 9.1% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 21.1% | 21.5% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.