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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+2.96vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.40+2.91vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.69+7.11vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+1.20vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.60+2.00vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.17+6.85vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.99+2.39vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.62+2.36vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.97+1.33vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.37+1.36vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.04-5.41vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-1.82vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-3.16vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.20-0.60vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.65-4.76vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.51-8.66vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.24-5.16vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.99-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Yale University2.7120.8%1st Place
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4.91Boston College2.4014.3%1st Place
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10.11Tufts University0.693.0%1st Place
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5.2Harvard University2.1012.1%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College1.607.4%1st Place
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12.85Northeastern University0.171.5%1st Place
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9.39University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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10.36Roger Williams University0.623.4%1st Place
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10.33Salve Regina University0.972.8%1st Place
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11.36Boston University0.372.2%1st Place
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5.59Brown University2.0410.8%1st Place
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10.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.6%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.1%1st Place
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13.4Harvard University-0.201.1%1st Place
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10.24Connecticut College0.653.1%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College1.516.6%1st Place
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11.84University of Vermont0.241.4%1st Place
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17.11Middlebury College-1.990.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 20.8% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 18.4% | 4.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 1.7% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 23.7% | 7.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 3.1% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.