← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.40+4.04vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.10+3.12vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.71+0.90vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University0.69+6.01vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College1.60+1.99vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.04-0.39vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+3.10vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University0.17+4.76vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University0.62+1.14vs Predicted
-
10Boston University0.37+1.41vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College0.65-0.80vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island0.99-2.71vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College1.51-5.63vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont0.24-2.00vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-5.16vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University-0.20-2.52vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College-1.99+0.22vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University0.97-7.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.04Boston College2.4012.2%1st Place
-
5.12Harvard University2.1013.1%1st Place
-
3.9Yale University2.7119.4%1st Place
-
10.01Tufts University0.692.9%1st Place
-
6.99Dartmouth College1.607.8%1st Place
-
5.61Brown University2.0410.4%1st Place
-
10.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.5%1st Place
-
12.76Northeastern University0.171.2%1st Place
-
10.14Roger Williams University0.623.3%1st Place
-
11.41Boston University0.372.2%1st Place
-
10.2Connecticut College0.653.6%1st Place
-
9.29University of Rhode Island0.993.8%1st Place
-
7.37Bowdoin College1.517.0%1st Place
-
12.0University of Vermont0.241.9%1st Place
-
9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.9%1st Place
-
13.48Harvard University-0.201.5%1st Place
-
17.22Middlebury College-1.990.1%1st Place
-
10.51Salve Regina University0.973.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.4% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 4.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 1.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 2.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 23.0% | 6.5% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 7.4% | 80.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.