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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.28+1.43vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.60+2.61vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.37+0.62vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.27-1.62vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia1.10-0.92vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.19-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Hampton University2.280.3%1st Place
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4.61Hampton University0.600.1%1st Place
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3.62William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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2.38Old Dominion University2.270.3%1st Place
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4.08University of Virginia1.100.1%1st Place
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3.88SUNY Maritime College1.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Maccari | 31.6% | 27.6% | 19.8% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Kimannee Simon | 5.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 42.0% |
| Bill Parker | 12.7% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 22.4% | 19.6% | 13.2% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 31.6% | 27.0% | 21.3% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Golladay | 8.9% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 24.5% | 23.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 10.0% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 21.6% | 23.6% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.