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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary1.37+2.66vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.19+1.81vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.28-0.60vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.60+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia1.10-0.89vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.27-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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3.81SUNY Maritime College1.190.1%1st Place
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2.4Hampton University2.280.3%1st Place
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4.62Hampton University0.600.1%1st Place
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4.11University of Virginia1.100.1%1st Place
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2.41Old Dominion University2.270.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Parker | 10.1% | 16.6% | 19.1% | 19.7% | 20.5% | 14.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 10.6% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 22.3% | 17.8% |
| Veronica Maccari | 32.5% | 25.1% | 21.7% | 12.9% | 6.4% | 1.4% |
| Kimannee Simon | 6.8% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 22.0% | 40.7% |
| Matthew Golladay | 7.7% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 19.0% | 22.1% | 24.5% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 32.3% | 26.4% | 19.6% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.