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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.40+4.00vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+1.96vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+2.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.69+5.90vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.65+5.17vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.04-0.41vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.60-0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+1.32vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+0.82vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.97+0.54vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.62-0.59vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.24+0.13vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.51-5.73vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.20-0.61vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-3.70vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-5.84vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.99+0.20vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.17-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Boston College2.4012.7%1st Place
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3.96Yale University2.7121.1%1st Place
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5.16Harvard University2.1011.3%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University0.693.5%1st Place
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10.17Connecticut College0.652.7%1st Place
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5.59Brown University2.0410.0%1st Place
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6.96Dartmouth College1.608.5%1st Place
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9.32University of Rhode Island0.994.4%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.9%1st Place
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10.54Salve Regina University0.972.6%1st Place
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10.41Roger Williams University0.623.4%1st Place
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12.13University of Vermont0.241.8%1st Place
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7.27Bowdoin College1.517.3%1st Place
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13.39Harvard University-0.201.2%1st Place
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11.3Boston University0.372.4%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.4%1st Place
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17.2Middlebury College-1.990.2%1st Place
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12.72Northeastern University0.171.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.1% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 2.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 23.1% | 7.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 9.1% | 77.4% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.