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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.69+9.07vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+3.17vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.40+1.94vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.04+1.73vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.97+5.42vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.71-2.10vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.62+3.16vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+1.21vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.37+2.33vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.60-2.93vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.24+1.17vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.65-1.75vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-2.85vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-4.17vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.99+2.14vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.17-3.27vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.51-9.64vs Predicted
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18Harvard University-0.20-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.07Tufts University0.692.9%1st Place
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5.17Harvard University2.1013.4%1st Place
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4.94Boston College2.4014.2%1st Place
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5.73Brown University2.0410.6%1st Place
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10.42Salve Regina University0.972.2%1st Place
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3.9Yale University2.7119.9%1st Place
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10.16Roger Williams University0.622.7%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island0.994.5%1st Place
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11.33Boston University0.372.2%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College1.607.2%1st Place
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12.17University of Vermont0.241.8%1st Place
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10.25Connecticut College0.653.2%1st Place
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10.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.0%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.5%1st Place
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17.14Middlebury College-1.990.1%1st Place
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12.73Northeastern University0.170.8%1st Place
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7.36Bowdoin College1.517.0%1st Place
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13.4Harvard University-0.200.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Jensen | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 14.2% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.9% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 2.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 78.5% |
| Ashley Arruda | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 4.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 22.1% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.