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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+6.40vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+7.27vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+4.22vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.70+4.69vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.87vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+5.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.60vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.78+0.38vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-1.35vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-2.38vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.05+0.67vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.00+0.09vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.97-1.33vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.55-8.67vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.62-5.95vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.90-3.83vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.41-6.88vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.77-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.27Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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7.22Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.69Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.38Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.65Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.67Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.09Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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11.67University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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5.33Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.05College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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12.17Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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12.45Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Raul Rios | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Antoine Screve | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| David Alfonso | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% |
| Mary Hall | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| William Macdonald | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 10.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 14.6% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% |
| Graham Landy | 14.5% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.9% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.