Race 1A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jacob Usher 27.9% 21.2% 17.3% 12.8% 9.7% 5.5% 2.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Fredrikke Foss 13.9% 15.8% 15.5% 13.5% 12.9% 11.3% 8.8% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Ian Hoogenboom 7.5% 8.7% 10.5% 11.5% 12.1% 13.0% 13.6% 11.7% 6.5% 4.2% 0.8%
Nilah Miller 14.6% 15.5% 13.2% 15.0% 12.7% 10.8% 8.8% 5.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Johnny Perkins 8.2% 8.2% 9.3% 10.2% 12.3% 11.8% 14.0% 13.4% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1%
Phoebe Whitbeck 6.1% 6.7% 7.7% 9.3% 8.5% 11.0% 11.4% 15.0% 13.5% 8.6% 2.2%
Samuel Trimble 1.6% 1.2% 2.2% 2.4% 3.4% 4.9% 5.7% 8.9% 17.1% 25.6% 27.1%
Roberto Martelli 12.2% 13.1% 13.2% 12.4% 13.4% 13.2% 9.9% 7.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Caroline Lancaster 1.6% 2.1% 2.9% 3.2% 3.9% 4.8% 7.7% 10.3% 19.4% 26.4% 17.8%
Crispin Martin 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.9% 3.5% 6.5% 11.2% 21.1% 48.5%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 5.8% 6.8% 6.9% 8.2% 9.2% 10.8% 13.8% 14.5% 14.2% 7.6% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.