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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+6.41vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+8.23vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+4.89vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+1.42vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.62+4.12vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00+5.70vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05+4.51vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.92vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.90+3.19vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.70-0.97vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.25vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.78-3.16vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.64-4.08vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.97-2.49vs Predicted
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15Boston College4.12-7.99vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-4.26vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-4.24vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College4.05-10.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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7.89Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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5.42Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.12College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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11.7Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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11.51Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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12.19Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.03Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.84Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.92Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.51University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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7.01Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.74University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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12.76Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 3.9% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| William Macdonald | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Graham Landy | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% |
| David Alfonso | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.2% |
| Antoine Screve | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Mary Hall | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% |
| Raul Rios | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 13.3% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 18.4% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.