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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+10.64vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+8.28vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+2.62vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.62+5.09vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+2.71vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.64+3.09vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.63vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.97+3.75vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-1.79vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78-1.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.08-3.64vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.62vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.70-4.37vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.00-2.54vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.77-2.40vs Predicted
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16Boston College4.12-8.91vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.90-4.76vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.02-6.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.64Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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5.62Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.09College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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7.71Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.09Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.75University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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7.21Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.7Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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8.63Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.46Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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12.6Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.09Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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12.24Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.51University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Drumm | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Graham Landy | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| William Macdonald | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Mary Hall | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| William Haeger | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| David Alfonso | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Antoine Screve | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 18.0% |
| Raul Rios | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.