Race 2A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Fredrikke Foss 13.0% 13.5% 14.5% 15.8% 12.9% 11.9% 9.2% 4.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.1%
Jacob Usher 29.0% 23.8% 15.3% 12.8% 8.3% 5.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Johnny Perkins 7.8% 7.3% 9.7% 9.2% 11.0% 12.6% 14.3% 13.3% 9.6% 4.0% 1.2%
Phoebe Whitbeck 5.5% 6.0% 7.8% 7.4% 9.2% 11.8% 13.5% 15.8% 13.0% 7.5% 2.5%
Ian Hoogenboom 9.2% 9.4% 11.8% 10.4% 13.2% 12.6% 11.2% 11.3% 7.2% 2.9% 0.7%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 5.9% 6.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.5% 10.3% 13.5% 14.4% 15.2% 7.8% 2.5%
Nilah Miller 13.6% 14.5% 14.2% 14.8% 13.9% 11.6% 8.6% 5.7% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Samuel Trimble 1.6% 1.6% 2.6% 2.7% 3.0% 4.5% 5.5% 8.2% 15.1% 27.3% 27.9%
Crispin Martin 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 1.6% 3.4% 4.0% 6.3% 11.8% 22.0% 46.1%
Roberto Martelli 11.7% 14.8% 13.9% 14.2% 12.8% 10.9% 10.0% 7.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Caroline Lancaster 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 3.2% 3.7% 5.1% 7.0% 11.5% 18.9% 25.3% 18.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.