Race 3A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ian Hoogenboom 8.3% 8.2% 10.5% 12.0% 11.9% 13.4% 12.3% 11.6% 8.1% 2.9% 0.7%
Johnny Perkins 8.2% 8.0% 8.8% 10.1% 12.3% 11.9% 13.0% 13.5% 8.7% 4.5% 0.9%
Jacob Usher 26.3% 23.4% 18.4% 13.4% 8.8% 5.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Roberto Martelli 12.5% 12.2% 13.1% 13.7% 12.8% 11.7% 10.5% 8.3% 3.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 6.7% 6.9% 6.7% 8.4% 8.5% 12.8% 12.9% 13.5% 13.0% 8.2% 2.5%
Nilah Miller 14.8% 16.0% 14.8% 14.3% 13.4% 10.0% 7.5% 5.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Fredrikke Foss 13.2% 13.1% 14.6% 14.7% 14.3% 10.8% 8.8% 6.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.3%
Phoebe Whitbeck 5.5% 6.5% 7.1% 6.3% 9.4% 10.7% 13.4% 15.9% 14.4% 8.2% 2.6%
Samuel Trimble 1.7% 2.2% 1.7% 2.9% 2.9% 4.2% 5.7% 8.6% 15.9% 26.5% 27.8%
Caroline Lancaster 1.8% 2.5% 2.8% 2.3% 3.8% 5.7% 8.0% 10.4% 18.6% 24.3% 19.8%
Crispin Martin 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 2.0% 1.9% 3.7% 4.9% 4.7% 11.5% 22.6% 45.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.