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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+11.73vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.00+10.00vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+4.99vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+3.24vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.89vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+1.25vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12+0.07vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.64+0.99vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.55-3.62vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78-1.30vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.24vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.70-2.80vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.02-1.57vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.62-5.14vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.41-5.06vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-4.37vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.97-5.00vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.90-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.73Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.0Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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7.99Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.07Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.99Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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5.38Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.7Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.2Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.43University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.86College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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9.94University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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11.63Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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11.95Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Howes | 2.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 19.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% |
| William Macdonald | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| David Alfonso | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% |
| William Haeger | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Raul Rios | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Graham Landy | 13.0% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Mary Hall | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.2% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.