Race 1B

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ethan Homberger 57.5% 26.1% 11.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Lucyk 7.6% 13.6% 17.0% 16.6% 15.7% 12.6% 9.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.3%
Trevin Brown 5.4% 8.2% 11.7% 13.1% 14.8% 14.8% 14.0% 10.9% 5.7% 1.6%
Robert Williams 4.9% 9.3% 10.4% 12.8% 15.0% 15.0% 14.2% 11.2% 5.4% 1.6%
Kathleen Hale 10.4% 18.5% 19.3% 17.1% 13.3% 10.2% 6.6% 3.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Tucker Parks 7.0% 11.9% 13.0% 15.4% 15.3% 14.1% 10.3% 8.3% 4.0% 0.7%
Felicity Davies 2.5% 4.5% 6.8% 8.0% 10.5% 11.1% 14.4% 19.2% 15.2% 7.8%
Emma Pope 1.3% 1.6% 2.6% 3.5% 3.1% 5.5% 6.9% 11.6% 23.2% 40.8%
William Robertson 2.1% 4.2% 5.3% 6.9% 7.7% 11.6% 15.5% 17.9% 18.8% 10.0%
Charles Palmer 1.1% 2.1% 2.8% 3.1% 3.4% 4.9% 8.8% 12.3% 24.4% 37.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.