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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.94+4.85vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.48+4.74vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+2.80vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.50+3.48vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.87-0.14vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.27+3.21vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.64+3.03vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.11+0.66vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.54+0.89vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University-0.52+0.69vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.46+0.68vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+0.86vs Predicted
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13Florida State University-1.34+0.03vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.92-2.58vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.02-2.89vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.81-1.36vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-2.35-0.87vs Predicted
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18Unknown School-1.97-3.12vs Predicted
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19Hampton University0.58-14.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Roger Williams University0.9410.3%1st Place
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6.74Jacksonville University0.488.6%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6411.3%1st Place
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7.48University of South Florida0.505.9%1st Place
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4.86North Carolina State University0.8714.8%1st Place
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9.21The Citadel-0.274.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Michigan-0.643.0%1st Place
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8.66University of South Carolina-0.114.8%1st Place
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9.89Clemson University-0.543.1%1st Place
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10.69Christopher Newport University-0.522.9%1st Place
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11.68University of Central Florida-0.462.4%1st Place
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12.86University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.5%1st Place
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13.03Florida State University-1.341.8%1st Place
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11.42University of North Carolina-0.922.1%1st Place
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12.11Embry-Riddle University-1.021.9%1st Place
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14.64San Diego State University-1.810.8%1st Place
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16.13Florida Institute of Technology-2.350.6%1st Place
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14.88Unknown School-1.971.3%1st Place
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4.04Hampton University0.5818.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Fuja | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Brelage | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Molly Loring | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Houseal | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Noah Hubbard | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.4% |
| Ella Durante | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.4% |
| Emma Gumny | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Suhas Medidi | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Sadie Marinerstein | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 16.4% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 37.5% |
| Samara Cohen | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 21.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 18.8% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.