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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.95+6.97vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+3.56vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+5.59vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.54vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.91vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+5.68vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05+4.56vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.12-1.03vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.62+0.09vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.41+0.30vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.00+0.85vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.70-2.86vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.05-5.80vs Predicted
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14Tufts University4.08-7.06vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.97-3.17vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.90-3.80vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.64-7.81vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.77-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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5.56Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.59Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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11.56Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.97Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.09College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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10.3University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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11.85Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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9.14Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.2Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.94Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.83University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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12.2Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.19Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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12.48Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Macdonald | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Graham Landy | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Mary Hall | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| David Alfonso | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.8% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% |
| Raul Rios | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.6% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 15.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.