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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.56+0.72vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.66+3.28vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology-0.34+1.36vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.05-0.18vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.77+0.11vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.48-1.34vs Predicted
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7Duke University-1.61-0.23vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-1.40vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-2.55-0.55vs Predicted
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10Wake Forest University-2.44-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72College of Charleston1.5655.2%1st Place
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5.28University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.665.1%1st Place
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4.36Georgia Institute of Technology-0.347.6%1st Place
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3.82University of North Carolina-0.0511.6%1st Place
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5.11Clemson University-0.776.3%1st Place
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4.66North Carolina State University-0.487.1%1st Place
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6.77Duke University-1.612.6%1st Place
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6.6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.483.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Georgia-2.550.7%1st Place
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8.22Wake Forest University-2.440.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Homberger | 55.2% | 26.5% | 12.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Williams | 5.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 7.6% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Kathleen Hale | 11.6% | 16.8% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Trevin Brown | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Tucker Parks | 7.1% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| William Robertson | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 8.6% |
| Felicity Davies | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 20.7% | 14.1% | 8.7% |
| Emma Pope | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 22.6% | 44.2% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 26.8% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.