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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.56+0.72vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.66+3.22vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48+3.67vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.05-0.23vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.34-0.72vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.77-0.86vs Predicted
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7Duke University-1.61-0.16vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.48-3.27vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-2.55-0.55vs Predicted
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10Wake Forest University-2.44-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72College of Charleston1.5655.5%1st Place
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5.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.665.6%1st Place
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6.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.481.9%1st Place
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3.77University of North Carolina-0.0511.1%1st Place
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4.28Georgia Institute of Technology-0.348.8%1st Place
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5.14Clemson University-0.775.8%1st Place
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6.84Duke University-1.611.9%1st Place
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4.73North Carolina State University-0.487.3%1st Place
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8.45University of Georgia-2.550.9%1st Place
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8.18Wake Forest University-2.441.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Ethan Homberger | 55.5% | 26.6% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Robert Williams | 5.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
Felicity Davies | 1.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 16.0% | 8.4% |
Kathleen Hale | 11.1% | 18.1% | 20.6% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Christopher Lucyk | 8.8% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
Trevin Brown | 5.8% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
William Robertson | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 10.1% |
Tucker Parks | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
Emma Pope | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 23.6% | 41.8% |
Charles Palmer | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 25.1% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.