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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ethan Homberger 55.5% 26.6% 11.8% 4.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Williams 5.6% 9.3% 10.1% 13.7% 13.9% 15.6% 14.2% 10.1% 6.0% 1.6%
Felicity Davies 1.9% 4.8% 5.9% 7.5% 8.6% 11.3% 15.6% 19.9% 16.0% 8.4%
Kathleen Hale 11.1% 18.1% 20.6% 17.2% 13.7% 10.1% 5.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Christopher Lucyk 8.8% 14.9% 16.7% 16.1% 14.6% 11.9% 8.9% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6%
Trevin Brown 5.8% 9.4% 12.4% 11.8% 14.6% 14.6% 14.5% 10.2% 4.8% 1.8%
William Robertson 1.9% 4.2% 5.5% 6.2% 8.8% 10.7% 14.2% 20.1% 18.1% 10.1%
Tucker Parks 7.3% 10.0% 13.6% 17.2% 15.4% 14.1% 11.3% 6.8% 3.2% 1.1%
Emma Pope 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 2.9% 4.0% 5.2% 7.6% 11.3% 23.6% 41.8%
Charles Palmer 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 3.5% 4.7% 5.9% 8.2% 13.5% 25.1% 34.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.