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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.41+9.22vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.62+7.39vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+6.30vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.95+3.67vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+2.29vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+1.24vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.97vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.00+3.63vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.70-0.31vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-2.73vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.26vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.05-0.12vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-4.69vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.77-1.71vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.55-9.61vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-4.24vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.90-4.73vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.97-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.22University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston3.620.0%1st Place
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9.3Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.29Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.24Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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11.63Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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8.69Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.88Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.31Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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12.29Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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5.39Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.76University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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12.27Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Jermain | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Nick Johnstone | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| William Macdonald | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| William Haeger | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| David Alfonso | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Raul Rios | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Mary Hall | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 17.4% |
| Graham Landy | 12.4% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.6% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.