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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+7.95vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.97+10.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+6.34vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.62+5.01vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+2.71vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12+1.12vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.00+4.69vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.41+1.93vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.77+3.62vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-2.47vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.08-3.70vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.55-6.21vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.74-4.52vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.78-5.88vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.07vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-4.40vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.90-4.77vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.02-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.95Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.2University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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9.34Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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9.01College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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7.71Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.12Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.69Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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9.93University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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12.62Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.3Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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5.79Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.12Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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11.6Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.23Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Alex Ramos | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 13.9% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Raul Rios | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 16.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Graham Landy | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| David Alfonso | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 15.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.