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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.79+8.34vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+5.24vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+4.39vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.07+6.79vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+1.85vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.75+1.45vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.38vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.12+2.88vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.73+5.36vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.12-0.33vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.32vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-3.06vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.71-2.01vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.78-6.54vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.58-2.94vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.72-4.08vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.08-7.31vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.56-9.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.34Boston University1.795.3%1st Place
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7.24Yale University2.718.2%1st Place
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7.39Yale University2.428.2%1st Place
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10.79Roger Williams University2.074.5%1st Place
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6.85Brown University2.859.0%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College2.759.4%1st Place
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8.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.0%1st Place
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10.88Harvard University2.123.3%1st Place
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14.36Fairfield University0.731.7%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University2.124.5%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.6%1st Place
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8.94Connecticut College2.295.2%1st Place
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10.99Northeastern University1.713.4%1st Place
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7.46University of Rhode Island2.788.4%1st Place
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12.06University of Vermont1.582.6%1st Place
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11.92Brown University1.721.7%1st Place
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9.69Bowdoin College2.085.1%1st Place
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8.91Boston College2.565.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 5.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 36.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Will Priebe | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 13.9% |
| Jed Bell | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.