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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+4.67vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+5.99vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+4.35vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.62+5.07vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.90vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+2.48vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.70+1.77vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.97+3.77vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-2.06vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.10vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.05-3.56vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.64-2.58vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.41-3.16vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.05-2.77vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.02-3.40vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.77-3.22vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.00-5.14vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.90-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.99Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.07College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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9.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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8.48Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.77Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.77University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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6.94Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.42Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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11.23Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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12.78Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.86Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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11.99Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| William Haeger | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| David Alfonso | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Antoine Screve | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 11.2% |
| Raul Rios | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Mary Hall | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 19.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.