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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+7.53vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.29+7.19vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+4.46vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+3.37vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.71+2.22vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.12+3.95vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56+1.89vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79+1.27vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.08+0.72vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.48vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.78-3.55vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.72-0.06vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.07-2.21vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.85-7.20vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.58-2.91vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.12-5.31vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.71-6.06vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.73-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
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9.19Connecticut College2.295.4%1st Place
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7.46Yale University2.427.6%1st Place
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7.37Dartmouth College2.758.5%1st Place
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7.22Yale University2.718.9%1st Place
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9.95Tufts University2.124.5%1st Place
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8.89Boston College2.565.5%1st Place
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9.27Boston University1.795.5%1st Place
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9.72Bowdoin College2.085.9%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.2%1st Place
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7.45University of Rhode Island2.788.3%1st Place
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11.94Brown University1.722.1%1st Place
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10.79Roger Williams University2.073.6%1st Place
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6.8Brown University2.858.6%1st Place
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12.09University of Vermont1.582.9%1st Place
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10.69Harvard University2.123.6%1st Place
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10.94Northeastern University1.714.7%1st Place
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14.18Fairfield University0.731.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Jed Bell | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Will Priebe | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.