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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+6.49vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+5.22vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.62+6.37vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+3.28vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+2.68vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.66vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+1.44vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.87vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.55-3.64vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.00+1.98vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.90+1.26vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.41-1.62vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.05-1.64vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.02-2.70vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.77-2.40vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.97-4.05vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.64-7.79vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.70-9.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.22Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.37College of Charleston3.620.0%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.68Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.44Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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5.36Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.98Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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12.26Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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11.36Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.3University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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12.6Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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9.21Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.59Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Raul Rios | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nick Johnstone | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| William Macdonald | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Mary Hall | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| David Alfonso | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Graham Landy | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 17.9% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.