← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.12+8.78vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.58vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.85+4.00vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University0.73+10.35vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.79+4.08vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.75+1.37vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.08+2.56vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.29+1.15vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.71-1.71vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.78-2.50vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.56-2.19vs Predicted
-
12Brown University1.72+0.09vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.12-2.57vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.71-2.97vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-6.32vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont1.58-3.87vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University2.07-6.17vs Predicted
-
18Yale University2.42-10.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.78Tufts University2.124.2%1st Place
-
8.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
-
7.0Brown University2.859.2%1st Place
-
14.35Fairfield University0.731.2%1st Place
-
9.08Boston University1.795.7%1st Place
-
7.37Dartmouth College2.758.4%1st Place
-
9.56Bowdoin College2.084.6%1st Place
-
9.15Connecticut College2.295.3%1st Place
-
7.29Yale University2.718.1%1st Place
-
7.5University of Rhode Island2.788.6%1st Place
-
8.81Boston College2.565.1%1st Place
-
12.09Brown University1.722.5%1st Place
-
10.43Harvard University2.124.2%1st Place
-
11.03Northeastern University1.713.5%1st Place
-
8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.6%1st Place
-
12.13University of Vermont1.582.9%1st Place
-
10.83Roger Williams University2.074.0%1st Place
-
7.33Yale University2.429.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 36.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Jed Bell | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.9% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.7% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.