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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+7.63vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+5.35vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+6.23vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.56+4.93vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.71+2.27vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+1.46vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.08+2.70vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.07+2.81vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.55vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.75-2.75vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.72+0.88vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.12-1.98vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.12-2.39vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.73+0.33vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.29-5.97vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.58-3.87vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.85-10.14vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.71-6.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.2%1st Place
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7.35Yale University2.428.1%1st Place
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9.23Boston University1.795.2%1st Place
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8.93Boston College2.565.4%1st Place
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7.27Yale University2.718.6%1st Place
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7.46University of Rhode Island2.788.0%1st Place
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9.7Bowdoin College2.084.8%1st Place
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10.81Roger Williams University2.073.6%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College2.759.4%1st Place
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11.88Brown University1.723.0%1st Place
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10.02Tufts University2.124.9%1st Place
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10.61Harvard University2.125.0%1st Place
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14.33Fairfield University0.730.8%1st Place
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9.03Connecticut College2.295.5%1st Place
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12.13University of Vermont1.582.2%1st Place
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6.86Brown University2.8510.2%1st Place
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11.05Northeastern University1.713.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jed Bell | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 37.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.