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📊 Prediction Accuracy
0.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+6.17vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+6.36vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.52vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+2.74vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.97+6.38vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.19+8.30vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.90+4.76vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.77+4.15vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.00+2.37vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.55-4.54vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.62-2.02vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.05-4.59vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.95-5.71vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.64-5.55vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.41vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.41-6.33vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.05-5.73vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.02-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.36Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.74Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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14.3Stanford University2.190.0%1st Place
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11.76Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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12.15Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.37Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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5.46Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.98College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.45Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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11.27Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Mary Hall | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Raul Rios | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% |
| Kaitlyn Baab | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 33.6% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.8% |
| Graham Landy | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| William Macdonald | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| David Alfonso | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 7.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.