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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+6.48vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+5.38vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.08+6.62vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.63vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.37vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.85+0.81vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.12+3.53vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.75-0.82vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29+0.20vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.07+0.82vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.71-3.84vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.56-3.14vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.12-3.18vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.71-2.85vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.72-3.12vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.73-1.67vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.58-4.64vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.79-8.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48University of Rhode Island2.788.3%1st Place
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7.38Yale University2.428.5%1st Place
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9.62Bowdoin College2.084.6%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.9%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.7%1st Place
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6.81Brown University2.8510.2%1st Place
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10.53Harvard University2.124.7%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College2.758.2%1st Place
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9.2Connecticut College2.295.1%1st Place
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10.82Roger Williams University2.073.5%1st Place
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7.16Yale University2.719.8%1st Place
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8.86Boston College2.565.3%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University2.124.3%1st Place
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11.15Northeastern University1.712.9%1st Place
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11.88Brown University1.722.5%1st Place
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14.33Fairfield University0.731.8%1st Place
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12.36University of Vermont1.582.5%1st Place
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9.42Boston University1.795.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 9.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% |
| Jed Bell | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 35.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 13.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.