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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+7.89vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+5.67vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+4.16vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+7.00vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+1.76vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00+5.41vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.97+4.47vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02+3.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.60vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.44vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.55-5.64vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-4.67vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.77-0.93vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.78-6.11vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.90-3.21vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.19-1.66vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.41-7.17vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.62-9.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.0Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.76Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.41Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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5.36Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.33Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.07Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.89Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.79Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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14.34Stanford University2.190.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.62College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| William Macdonald | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% |
| Raul Rios | 9.7% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 7.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 6.8% |
| David Alfonso | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Mary Hall | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Graham Landy | 14.7% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% |
| Kaitlyn Baab | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 32.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.