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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+6.29vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.12+8.65vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+4.21vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+2.85vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.07+5.85vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+3.26vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.55vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.56+0.96vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.58+3.09vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.75-2.83vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.43vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.71-0.71vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.29-4.04vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.78-6.61vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.72-3.26vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.08-6.15vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.12-7.09vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.73-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Yale University2.718.5%1st Place
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10.65Harvard University2.124.5%1st Place
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7.21Yale University2.429.2%1st Place
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6.85Brown University2.8510.1%1st Place
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10.85Roger Williams University2.074.4%1st Place
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9.26Boston University1.794.2%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.8%1st Place
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8.96Boston College2.565.2%1st Place
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12.09University of Vermont1.583.0%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College2.759.1%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
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11.29Northeastern University1.712.4%1st Place
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8.96Connecticut College2.295.7%1st Place
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7.39University of Rhode Island2.788.4%1st Place
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11.74Brown University1.723.5%1st Place
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9.85Bowdoin College2.084.0%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University2.124.8%1st Place
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14.38Fairfield University0.731.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Will Priebe | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jed Bell | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 13.9% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.