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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+4.84vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.58+2.06vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.87+1.93vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.94+1.74vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.50+2.35vs Predicted
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6University of Central Florida-0.46+5.46vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.48-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.11+0.35vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.27+0.25vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.46-0.06vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.54-0.96vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-1.43+1.50vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University-0.52-2.33vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.02-2.22vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98-3.15vs Predicted
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16Florida State University-1.34-3.07vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-2.35-0.92vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.81-3.34vs Predicted
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19Unknown School-1.97-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6411.3%1st Place
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4.06Hampton University0.5818.9%1st Place
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4.93North Carolina State University0.8713.5%1st Place
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5.74Roger Williams University0.9410.1%1st Place
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7.35University of South Florida0.506.6%1st Place
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11.46University of Central Florida-0.462.1%1st Place
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6.56Jacksonville University0.489.9%1st Place
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8.35University of South Carolina-0.115.0%1st Place
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9.25The Citadel-0.274.0%1st Place
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9.94University of North Carolina-0.463.5%1st Place
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10.04Clemson University-0.544.0%1st Place
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13.5University of Michigan-1.431.2%1st Place
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10.67Christopher Newport University-0.522.0%1st Place
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11.78Embry-Riddle University-1.021.9%1st Place
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11.85University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.981.8%1st Place
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12.93Florida State University-1.341.8%1st Place
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16.08Florida Institute of Technology-2.350.4%1st Place
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14.66San Diego State University-1.811.1%1st Place
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15.02Unknown School-1.970.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Marsh | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 18.9% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Joe Seiffert | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly Loring | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| May Proctor | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jack Houseal | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Jillian Giordano | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 8.8% |
| Noah Hubbard | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Suhas Medidi | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Ella Durante | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 17.2% | 36.8% |
| Sadie Marinerstein | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 16.6% |
| Samara Cohen | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.