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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+5.87vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+5.15vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+6.35vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.29+5.11vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.12+5.95vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+2.72vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.55vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.58vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.08+0.61vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.73+4.31vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.71-3.84vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.71-0.98vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.07-2.16vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.75-6.58vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.12-5.01vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.78-8.58vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.72-5.14vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.58-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Brown University2.859.0%1st Place
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7.15Yale University2.428.8%1st Place
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9.35Boston University1.795.4%1st Place
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9.11Connecticut College2.295.9%1st Place
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10.95Harvard University2.123.5%1st Place
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8.72Boston College2.566.2%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.2%1st Place
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8.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.9%1st Place
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9.61Bowdoin College2.085.1%1st Place
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14.31Fairfield University0.731.4%1st Place
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7.16Yale University2.719.3%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University1.712.9%1st Place
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10.84Roger Williams University2.073.6%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College2.758.0%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University2.124.3%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island2.789.1%1st Place
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11.86Brown University1.722.3%1st Place
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12.1University of Vermont1.581.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 36.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jed Bell | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.