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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+6.24vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+6.30vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+3.93vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+1.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.26vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.66vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.41+1.56vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02+2.34vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.62-0.93vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.64-2.17vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.95-4.24vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.05-1.99vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.00-2.98vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.97-3.51vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.90-4.17vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-4.58vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.19-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.3Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.93Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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5.18Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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6.94Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.07College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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8.83Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.01Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.02Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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11.83Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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12.42Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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14.17Stanford University2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Raul Rios | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Graham Landy | 14.3% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| David Alfonso | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| William Haeger | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| William Macdonald | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 13.8% |
| Kaitlyn Baab | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.