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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+7.47vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+5.15vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+4.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+2.79vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.29+3.90vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.07+4.53vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.08+2.58vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.72+3.70vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.12+0.70vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.71-2.97vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.12-0.36vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-0.21vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.71-2.20vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.68vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.79-6.11vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.73-1.73vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.58-4.96vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.78-10.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.47Boston College2.566.2%1st Place
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7.15Yale University2.428.9%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College2.759.3%1st Place
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6.79Brown University2.859.6%1st Place
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8.9Connecticut College2.295.0%1st Place
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10.53Roger Williams University2.073.9%1st Place
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9.58Bowdoin College2.084.8%1st Place
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11.7Brown University1.722.8%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University2.124.4%1st Place
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7.03Yale University2.719.2%1st Place
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10.64Harvard University2.123.7%1st Place
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11.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.7%1st Place
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10.8Northeastern University1.713.9%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.9%1st Place
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8.89Boston University1.796.3%1st Place
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14.27Fairfield University0.731.3%1st Place
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12.04University of Vermont1.582.8%1st Place
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7.33University of Rhode Island2.788.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Jed Bell | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 12.3% |
| Will Priebe | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 34.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.