← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.75+6.09vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.85+4.58vs Predicted
-
3Boston University1.79+6.11vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.42+3.19vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.54vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.72+5.81vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.12+2.50vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.07+2.77vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+2.70vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.71-2.80vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.29-2.21vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.78-4.86vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.56-4.41vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.58-1.90vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College2.08-5.57vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.71-5.19vs Predicted
-
17Harvard University2.12-6.58vs Predicted
-
18Fairfield University0.73-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.09Dartmouth College2.758.4%1st Place
-
6.58Brown University2.8510.6%1st Place
-
9.11Boston University1.795.7%1st Place
-
7.19Yale University2.428.3%1st Place
-
8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.5%1st Place
-
11.81Brown University1.722.4%1st Place
-
9.5Tufts University2.125.9%1st Place
-
10.77Roger Williams University2.074.2%1st Place
-
11.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.9%1st Place
-
7.2Yale University2.718.0%1st Place
-
8.79Connecticut College2.296.1%1st Place
-
7.14University of Rhode Island2.789.5%1st Place
-
8.59Boston College2.565.3%1st Place
-
12.1University of Vermont1.582.7%1st Place
-
9.43Bowdoin College2.085.5%1st Place
-
10.81Northeastern University1.713.7%1st Place
-
10.42Harvard University2.124.0%1st Place
-
14.22Fairfield University0.731.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Jed Bell | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Will Priebe | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 5.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.