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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+5.86vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+5.66vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+5.06vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.23+5.77vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+2.43vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+2.77vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.77+4.83vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.74+3.84vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.96+2.03vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.02vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.27-1.10vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.73-3.91vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan3.02-2.34vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.12-3.96vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.35-1.64vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.84-8.68vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.27-7.16vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-9.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.66Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.06Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.77Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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7.43Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.83Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.84Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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11.03Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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10.04College of Charleston3.120.0%1st Place
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13.36Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.84Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Scott Houck | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.8% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% |
| David Larson | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% |
| Michael Booker | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 25.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.