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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.07+9.72vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.54vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+3.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.72+7.75vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.71+1.94vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42+0.96vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.12+2.86vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+3.86vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78-1.88vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.58+1.81vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.08-1.47vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.12-1.24vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.75-5.99vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.71-3.30vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.79-5.94vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.56-7.54vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.29-8.24vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.73-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.72Roger Williams University2.073.6%1st Place
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
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6.82Brown University2.859.2%1st Place
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11.75Brown University1.722.1%1st Place
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6.94Yale University2.719.5%1st Place
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6.96Yale University2.429.2%1st Place
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9.86Tufts University2.125.1%1st Place
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11.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.7%1st Place
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7.12University of Rhode Island2.788.1%1st Place
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11.81University of Vermont1.583.0%1st Place
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9.53Bowdoin College2.084.8%1st Place
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10.76Harvard University2.123.4%1st Place
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7.01Dartmouth College2.759.3%1st Place
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10.7Northeastern University1.713.6%1st Place
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9.06Boston University1.795.9%1st Place
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8.46Boston College2.566.2%1st Place
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8.76Connecticut College2.296.6%1st Place
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14.34Fairfield University0.731.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wood | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jed Bell | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 11.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Will Priebe | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.