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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.85+4.97vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.27vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.92+6.40vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.95+5.67vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.91+0.71vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.58+4.80vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.45+0.70vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.44+4.84vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.06-0.21vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.92-3.78vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.65-0.54vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.07+0.33vs Predicted
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132.13-2.84vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.92-4.85vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.48-7.70vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.42-1.11vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.61-6.14vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.05-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Yale University2.8510.2%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.7%1st Place
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9.4Connecticut College1.924.5%1st Place
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9.67Dartmouth College1.954.1%1st Place
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5.71Brown University2.9112.7%1st Place
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10.8Boston College1.582.8%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University2.458.2%1st Place
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12.84Tufts University1.442.3%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College2.065.9%1st Place
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6.22Yale University2.9211.3%1st Place
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10.46Boston University1.653.3%1st Place
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12.33Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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10.162.133.8%1st Place
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9.15Brown University1.924.5%1st Place
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7.3Harvard University2.487.9%1st Place
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14.89Fairfield University0.420.8%1st Place
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10.86University of Rhode Island1.612.9%1st Place
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12.48University of Vermont1.052.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 14.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 12.2% |
| Dana Haig | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 40.0% |
| Miles Williams | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 3.7% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.