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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.92+8.39vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+4.46vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.91+2.72vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.85+2.03vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.44+7.74vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.14vs Predicted
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72.13+3.38vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.58+2.75vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.42+5.89vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.65+0.39vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.95-1.39vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.61-1.18vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.06-4.20vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.92-4.91vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.45-7.42vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.48-8.78vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.05-4.43vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.07-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.39Connecticut College1.924.5%1st Place
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6.46Yale University2.9210.1%1st Place
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5.72Brown University2.9112.2%1st Place
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6.03Yale University2.8510.2%1st Place
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12.74Tufts University1.442.4%1st Place
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6.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.4%1st Place
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10.382.134.0%1st Place
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10.75Boston College1.583.2%1st Place
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14.89Fairfield University0.420.9%1st Place
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10.39Boston University1.653.9%1st Place
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9.61Dartmouth College1.953.6%1st Place
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10.82University of Rhode Island1.613.2%1st Place
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8.8Bowdoin College2.066.1%1st Place
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9.09Brown University1.924.5%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University2.457.3%1st Place
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7.22Harvard University2.489.3%1st Place
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12.57University of Vermont1.051.9%1st Place
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12.44Northeastern University1.072.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Mckenna | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 13.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 39.6% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.