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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+5.82vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+5.66vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.49+5.96vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+3.41vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+4.65vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.73+1.73vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.77+4.77vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.66vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.96+2.03vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.12+0.71vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.23-0.91vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-4.39vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.27-3.47vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.27-4.58vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.70-7.20vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan3.02-5.21vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.35-3.41vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.74-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.66Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.96Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.77Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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11.03Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.71College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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10.09Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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7.61University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.53Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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7.8Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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13.59Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.77Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Scott Houck | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| David Larson | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.6% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| Michael Booker | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 27.8% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.