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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+5.36vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.85+3.74vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.92+6.13vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.92+5.38vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.06+3.89vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.91-0.50vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.45+0.70vs Predicted
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82.13+2.30vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.58+1.74vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.42+4.92vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-4.71vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.44+0.82vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.05-0.57vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-1.57vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.95-5.44vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.48-8.54vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.61-6.20vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.65-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Yale University2.9211.4%1st Place
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5.74Yale University2.8512.0%1st Place
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9.13Brown University1.925.3%1st Place
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9.38Connecticut College1.924.2%1st Place
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8.89Bowdoin College2.065.1%1st Place
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5.5Brown University2.9113.4%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University2.457.3%1st Place
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10.32.133.6%1st Place
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10.74Boston College1.583.0%1st Place
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14.92Fairfield University0.420.6%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.4%1st Place
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12.82Tufts University1.441.3%1st Place
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12.43University of Vermont1.052.0%1st Place
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12.43Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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9.56Dartmouth College1.954.7%1st Place
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7.46Harvard University2.487.0%1st Place
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10.8University of Rhode Island1.612.9%1st Place
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10.55Boston University1.652.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Dana Haig | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Libby Redmond | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 38.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 13.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Miles Williams | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Micky Munns | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.