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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+5.53vs Predicted
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22.13+8.34vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.58+7.58vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.91+1.65vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.48+2.13vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.44+6.77vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.92+2.48vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.06+0.94vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.92+0.23vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-3.84vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.85-5.04vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.45-4.51vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.05-0.64vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.65-3.40vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.95-5.31vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-3.53vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.61-6.30vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.42-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Yale University2.928.9%1st Place
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10.342.133.5%1st Place
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10.58Boston College1.584.3%1st Place
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5.65Brown University2.9112.1%1st Place
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7.13Harvard University2.487.6%1st Place
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12.77Tufts University1.441.9%1st Place
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9.48Connecticut College1.924.5%1st Place
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8.94Bowdoin College2.064.7%1st Place
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9.23Brown University1.925.1%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.7%1st Place
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5.96Yale University2.8511.3%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University2.458.3%1st Place
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12.36University of Vermont1.052.2%1st Place
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10.6Boston University1.653.0%1st Place
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9.69Dartmouth College1.954.4%1st Place
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12.47Northeastern University1.072.5%1st Place
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10.7University of Rhode Island1.613.8%1st Place
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14.91Fairfield University0.421.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% |
| Micky Munns | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 11.5% |
| Miles Williams | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.