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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.14vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+4.42vs Predicted
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32.13+7.35vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.06+4.67vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.95+4.67vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.61+4.79vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.44+5.74vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.91-2.25vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.92+0.02vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.45-2.40vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.92-1.62vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.85-6.07vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.48-5.68vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.58-3.26vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-2.62vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.65-5.51vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.05-4.41vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.42-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.7%1st Place
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6.42Yale University2.9210.4%1st Place
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10.352.134.0%1st Place
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8.67Bowdoin College2.065.6%1st Place
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9.67Dartmouth College1.954.3%1st Place
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10.79University of Rhode Island1.613.6%1st Place
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12.74Tufts University1.441.9%1st Place
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5.75Brown University2.9111.5%1st Place
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9.02Brown University1.925.1%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University2.457.9%1st Place
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9.38Connecticut College1.923.8%1st Place
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5.93Yale University2.8510.6%1st Place
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7.32Harvard University2.487.8%1st Place
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10.74Boston College1.583.3%1st Place
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12.38Northeastern University1.072.7%1st Place
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10.49Boston University1.654.0%1st Place
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12.59University of Vermont1.052.1%1st Place
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15.02Fairfield University0.420.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Miles Williams | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 12.3% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Libby Redmond | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 11.9% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 12.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.