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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.06+7.89vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+8.32vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+3.58vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+2.12vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.92+4.15vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.92+3.66vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.91-1.30vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.45-0.36vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.07+3.39vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.44+2.66vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.95-1.21vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.58-1.23vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.48-5.73vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.65-3.64vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.42-0.34vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.85-10.19vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.61-6.26vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.05-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Bowdoin College2.064.7%1st Place
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10.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.9%1st Place
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6.58Yale University2.929.6%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.2%1st Place
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9.15Brown University1.925.5%1st Place
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9.66Connecticut College1.923.6%1st Place
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5.7Brown University2.9112.2%1st Place
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7.64Roger Williams University2.457.2%1st Place
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12.39Northeastern University1.071.9%1st Place
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12.66Tufts University1.442.1%1st Place
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9.79Dartmouth College1.954.0%1st Place
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10.77Boston College1.583.3%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University2.488.8%1st Place
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10.36Boston University1.654.2%1st Place
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14.66Fairfield University0.421.2%1st Place
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5.81Yale University2.8511.1%1st Place
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10.74University of Rhode Island1.613.1%1st Place
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12.51University of Vermont1.052.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bonauto | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Dana Haig | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 13.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Libby Redmond | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Micky Munns | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 37.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.