Race 8A

chesapeake-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Owen Kohut 26.7% 20.3% 18.1% 12.8% 10.1% 5.6% 4.2% 1.7% 0.4%
Benjamin Smith 14.5% 14.7% 13.2% 12.4% 13.8% 12.1% 10.0% 6.7% 2.6%
Teddy Martin 12.4% 12.7% 12.7% 13.8% 12.9% 13.0% 10.8% 8.0% 4.0%
Joseph Marynowski 6.5% 8.8% 9.6% 10.1% 9.7% 12.2% 14.3% 17.2% 11.7%
Mats Braaten 7.7% 9.2% 10.2% 10.9% 11.1% 13.8% 14.8% 13.3% 8.9%
Olivia Gilmore 6.5% 6.0% 6.5% 8.7% 10.4% 12.0% 13.0% 18.7% 18.2%
Eva Wieting 3.1% 3.0% 4.2% 5.0% 6.0% 7.6% 10.4% 15.7% 45.1%
Tyler Brown 10.7% 12.6% 13.8% 11.5% 13.5% 12.4% 11.2% 9.7% 4.7%
Hugh Carty 12.0% 12.7% 11.9% 14.8% 12.7% 11.2% 11.2% 9.1% 4.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.