Race 4B

odu-open-south-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Scott Lubliner 4.6% 6.8% 6.2% 8.2% 6.9% 8.5% 8.3% 8.8% 9.7% 7.0% 7.1% 8.0% 4.2% 3.5% 1.9% 0.3%
Taylor Vann 18.1% 16.7% 13.2% 11.0% 9.3% 10.6% 6.8% 5.2% 5.0% 1.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Wick Dudley 12.8% 10.7% 13.1% 11.1% 11.5% 11.9% 7.3% 9.3% 5.1% 2.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Krysta Rohde 14.3% 13.6% 13.5% 12.2% 12.6% 9.0% 8.4% 5.4% 5.2% 2.8% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexandra Arntsen 9.9% 9.5% 9.3% 10.9% 12.2% 8.2% 10.4% 8.2% 7.1% 6.2% 3.2% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Mason 13.8% 14.7% 13.1% 12.3% 10.8% 9.6% 7.3% 6.3% 4.8% 2.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Shoemaker 4.2% 3.6% 4.4% 4.6% 4.4% 6.4% 6.9% 6.2% 8.4% 10.3% 10.3% 8.6% 8.8% 6.9% 4.6% 1.4%
Hillary Paulsen 3.0% 3.4% 3.5% 3.5% 4.9% 4.3% 7.1% 6.9% 6.5% 8.8% 9.8% 10.6% 9.6% 9.7% 5.6% 2.8%
John O'Riordan 3.6% 4.3% 4.1% 4.8% 4.2% 5.6% 7.7% 9.7% 8.4% 9.7% 9.0% 10.0% 7.1% 5.6% 4.0% 2.2%
Alex Wood 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 2.8% 1.8% 3.0% 2.7% 3.7% 3.4% 6.9% 7.4% 9.2% 13.0% 13.9% 16.4% 10.5%
Meredith Carroll 6.0% 6.0% 5.9% 7.1% 5.8% 8.0% 8.2% 8.0% 9.6% 8.9% 9.3% 7.0% 5.5% 2.5% 1.8% 0.4%
Jennifer Mislinski 0.8% 1.1% 2.0% 0.8% 2.6% 2.2% 2.4% 3.0% 3.6% 5.9% 6.9% 7.4% 10.8% 12.2% 17.0% 21.3%
Maxwell Plarr 3.7% 3.6% 5.0% 6.2% 6.6% 5.9% 8.2% 7.7% 9.7% 9.9% 8.9% 8.8% 6.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.3%
Anthony Pappenfus 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 5.3% 5.7% 7.5% 10.2% 18.9% 37.8%
Jonathan Conway 2.0% 2.4% 2.0% 2.3% 2.6% 3.0% 4.2% 5.2% 6.8% 7.9% 8.5% 9.6% 12.8% 13.3% 10.6% 6.8%
Jun Yu Huang 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 1.3% 2.4% 2.4% 3.2% 4.3% 4.2% 5.6% 6.1% 8.1% 11.0% 16.2% 16.0% 15.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.