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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.94+4.83vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.87+2.85vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.50+4.21vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.58+0.10vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.46+5.15vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.48+0.69vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.27+2.17vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.11+0.33vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-3.18vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-0.46+1.52vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98+1.06vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-0.52-1.48vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.54-3.40vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.02-2.37vs Predicted
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15Florida State University-1.34-2.10vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.81-1.30vs Predicted
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17Unknown School-1.97-1.84vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-2.35-1.71vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan-1.43-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Roger Williams University0.9410.2%1st Place
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4.85North Carolina State University0.8714.3%1st Place
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7.21University of South Florida0.506.8%1st Place
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4.1Hampton University0.5818.9%1st Place
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10.15University of North Carolina-0.463.2%1st Place
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6.69Jacksonville University0.488.3%1st Place
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9.17The Citadel-0.273.8%1st Place
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8.33University of South Carolina-0.115.1%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6410.4%1st Place
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11.52University of Central Florida-0.462.3%1st Place
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12.06University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.982.1%1st Place
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10.52Christopher Newport University-0.523.6%1st Place
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9.6Clemson University-0.544.0%1st Place
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11.63Embry-Riddle University-1.022.3%1st Place
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12.9Florida State University-1.341.6%1st Place
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14.7San Diego State University-1.810.8%1st Place
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15.16Unknown School-1.970.9%1st Place
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16.29Florida Institute of Technology-2.350.4%1st Place
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13.48University of Michigan-1.431.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Fuja | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 14.3% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 18.9% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| May Proctor | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Joe Seiffert | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Loring | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Torin Stremlau | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Noah Hubbard | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Jack Houseal | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Suhas Medidi | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Ella Durante | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 6.1% |
| Sadie Marinerstein | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 16.8% |
| Samara Cohen | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 20.9% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 38.5% |
| Jillian Giordano | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.