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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington1.69+0.17vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon1.22-0.38vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.05-2.12vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound0.34-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17University of Washington1.690.3%1st Place
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2.62University of Oregon1.220.2%1st Place
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1.88Western Washington University2.050.4%1st Place
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3.34University of Puget Sound0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyce Flanagan | 30.0% | 34.5% | 24.2% | 11.3% |
| Cara Kuhlman | 18.9% | 23.1% | 35.4% | 22.6% |
| Katherine Stephens | 43.2% | 32.2% | 18.3% | 6.3% |
| Mary (Liza) Holtz | 7.9% | 10.2% | 22.1% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.