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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+6.92vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.27+7.98vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.49+6.03vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+5.61vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+2.86vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.12+4.37vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.23+2.84vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80-0.63vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.35+4.43vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.01-3.15vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.96+0.14vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan3.02-0.82vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.77-1.40vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.79-6.75vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.74-3.11vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.84-8.67vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.27-7.19vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-9.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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9.03Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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7.86Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.37College of Charleston3.120.0%1st Place
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9.84Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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7.37Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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13.43Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.85Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.14Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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11.18University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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11.6Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.25Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.89Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.81Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Michael Booker | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Scott Houck | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% |
| David Larson | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 15.0% | 25.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 12.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Tom Peabody | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.