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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.30vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+4.60vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.95+6.48vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.58+6.84vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.48+2.12vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+4.57vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.06+1.70vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.42+6.84vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45-1.29vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.92-0.76vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.61+0.03vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.07+0.39vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.65-2.60vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.92-4.57vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.85-9.16vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.44-3.47vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.91-11.36vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.05-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.0%1st Place
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6.6Yale University2.929.9%1st Place
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9.48Dartmouth College1.953.8%1st Place
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10.84Boston College1.582.9%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University2.488.8%1st Place
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10.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.6%1st Place
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8.7Bowdoin College2.065.5%1st Place
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14.84Fairfield University0.421.3%1st Place
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7.71Roger Williams University2.457.2%1st Place
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9.24Brown University1.924.9%1st Place
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11.03University of Rhode Island1.613.1%1st Place
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12.39Northeastern University1.071.5%1st Place
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10.4Boston University1.654.0%1st Place
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9.43Connecticut College1.924.1%1st Place
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5.84Yale University2.8511.6%1st Place
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12.53Tufts University1.441.7%1st Place
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5.64Brown University2.9112.7%1st Place
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12.36University of Vermont1.052.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Dana Haig | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 39.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Miles Williams | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 12.6% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.