← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.22vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.91+3.61vs Predicted
-
3Boston University1.65+7.38vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.85+1.92vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+5.39vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.92+0.47vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.06+1.83vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.48-0.71vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.45-1.38vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College1.92-0.56vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island1.61-0.14vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College1.95-2.44vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont1.05-0.45vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.44-1.27vs Predicted
-
15Fairfield University0.42-0.23vs Predicted
-
16Boston College1.58-5.30vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.07-4.53vs Predicted
-
18Brown University1.92-8.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.0%1st Place
-
5.61Brown University2.9111.5%1st Place
-
10.38Boston University1.653.9%1st Place
-
5.92Yale University2.8511.2%1st Place
-
10.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.134.6%1st Place
-
6.47Yale University2.9210.3%1st Place
-
8.83Bowdoin College2.065.3%1st Place
-
7.29Harvard University2.489.0%1st Place
-
7.62Roger Williams University2.457.3%1st Place
-
9.44Connecticut College1.924.3%1st Place
-
10.86University of Rhode Island1.613.0%1st Place
-
9.56Dartmouth College1.955.3%1st Place
-
12.55University of Vermont1.051.4%1st Place
-
12.73Tufts University1.441.8%1st Place
-
14.77Fairfield University0.421.2%1st Place
-
10.7Boston College1.583.6%1st Place
-
12.47Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
-
9.18Brown University1.924.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 9.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Miles Williams | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 14.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 14.9% | 39.8% |
| Libby Redmond | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 11.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.