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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.49+7.98vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+4.70vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.27+6.97vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.27+5.48vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.35+8.17vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+1.43vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.74+4.91vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79-0.59vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan3.02+1.76vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.02vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.96+0.13vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-2.87vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.12-2.83vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.73-6.53vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.23-5.22vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.62-3.54vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.84-9.56vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.70-10.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.7Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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9.48Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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13.17Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.43Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.91Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.76University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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11.13Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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10.17College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.78Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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12.46Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.61Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Houck | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Booker | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 24.8% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
| David Larson | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.