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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.06+7.79vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+4.51vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.95+6.44vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.48+3.61vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.91+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.61+4.92vs Predicted
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72.13+3.39vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.85-2.12vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.74vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.92-0.74vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.45-3.21vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.05+0.50vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-0.48vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.92-5.09vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.65-4.49vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.44-3.39vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.58-6.44vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.42-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79Bowdoin College2.065.9%1st Place
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6.51Yale University2.929.2%1st Place
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9.44Dartmouth College1.954.7%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University2.487.0%1st Place
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5.5Brown University2.9112.4%1st Place
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10.92University of Rhode Island1.612.6%1st Place
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10.392.133.7%1st Place
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5.88Yale University2.8512.0%1st Place
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6.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.3%1st Place
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9.26Connecticut College1.925.1%1st Place
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7.79Roger Williams University2.457.6%1st Place
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12.5University of Vermont1.052.4%1st Place
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12.52Northeastern University1.071.6%1st Place
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8.91Brown University1.925.9%1st Place
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10.51Boston University1.653.5%1st Place
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12.61Tufts University1.442.1%1st Place
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10.56Boston College1.583.4%1st Place
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15.03Fairfield University0.420.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bonauto | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Dana Haig | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Stephan Baker | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.