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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+6.23vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.06+6.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.91+2.53vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.45+3.54vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92+1.41vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.65+4.58vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.95+2.47vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.85-2.25vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.92+0.15vs Predicted
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102.13+0.19vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.44+1.73vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.49vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.92-4.01vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.61-3.21vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.05-2.55vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.42-1.18vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.07-4.59vs Predicted
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18Boston College1.58-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Harvard University2.489.0%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College2.066.8%1st Place
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5.53Brown University2.9113.2%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University2.456.2%1st Place
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6.41Yale University2.929.2%1st Place
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10.58Boston University1.653.6%1st Place
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9.47Dartmouth College1.954.8%1st Place
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5.75Yale University2.8511.1%1st Place
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9.15Connecticut College1.925.3%1st Place
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10.192.133.9%1st Place
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12.73Tufts University1.442.5%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.5%1st Place
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8.99Brown University1.924.7%1st Place
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10.79University of Rhode Island1.613.5%1st Place
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12.45University of Vermont1.052.1%1st Place
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14.82Fairfield University0.420.9%1st Place
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12.41Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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10.79Boston College1.583.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Dana Haig | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 15.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Miles Williams | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 10.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 39.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 11.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.