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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+6.71vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+4.73vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.49+5.99vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+4.64vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+2.40vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.12+4.37vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.23+2.80vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.27+1.65vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-1.82vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.96+1.31vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-1.13vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.73-3.94vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.35+0.18vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan3.02-3.62vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.70-7.27vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.74-4.00vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.27-7.25vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.62-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.73Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.99Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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7.4Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.37College of Charleston3.120.0%1st Place
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9.8Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.31Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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13.18Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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7.73Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.0Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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9.75Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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12.24Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Scott Houck | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Michael Booker | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% |
| David Larson | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 25.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.