← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College1.95+8.45vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.45vs Predicted
-
3Boston University1.65+7.48vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.92+2.27vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.45+2.41vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College1.92+3.25vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.06+1.78vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.92+0.90vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.91-3.52vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.48-2.81vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island1.61+0.02vs Predicted
-
12Yale University2.85-6.22vs Predicted
-
13Boston College1.58-2.13vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.07-1.74vs Predicted
-
152.13-4.61vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont1.05-3.58vs Predicted
-
17Fairfield University0.42-2.14vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University1.44-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.45Dartmouth College1.955.1%1st Place
-
7.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.6%1st Place
-
10.48Boston University1.654.1%1st Place
-
6.27Yale University2.9211.1%1st Place
-
7.41Roger Williams University2.457.3%1st Place
-
9.25Connecticut College1.925.0%1st Place
-
8.78Bowdoin College2.065.0%1st Place
-
8.9Brown University1.925.7%1st Place
-
5.48Brown University2.9112.8%1st Place
-
7.19Harvard University2.487.3%1st Place
-
11.02University of Rhode Island1.613.4%1st Place
-
5.78Yale University2.8511.9%1st Place
-
10.87Boston College1.582.9%1st Place
-
12.26Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
-
10.392.133.6%1st Place
-
12.42University of Vermont1.052.4%1st Place
-
14.86Fairfield University0.420.8%1st Place
-
12.74Tufts University1.441.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Micky Munns | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Miles Williams | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 10.7% |
| Dana Haig | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 11.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 40.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.